Saturday, 10 March 2012

5% Rule

I've read an article pertaining to how much of your capital will you risk per trade in Forex. The optimum is actually 5%. i was pondering in actuality how many of us can have the discipline to really control ourselves?

Human emotion is definitely the one true factor causing punters and investors to lose money. Most of the time we either react too fast to close off the position once things started going south, or we react too slow telling ourselves to stay calm and ride out the tide.

The huge question of WHEN is the optimum time to buy or sell begets another paradigm of investing: Timing the Market. Nobody can time the market without external aid, and most of the so called external aid are illegal e.g. insider info etc etc. So i had this sudden thought, rather then timing the market, why not we time our emotions?

Trade only when you feel calm and alert. Infact put in a stop loss and a limit, then go to sleep or surf the net or whatever can keep yourself occupied. Sometimes this kind of behaviour regulates your anxiety and removes the urge to either cut loss too early, or continue with a doomed trade.

Set a stop loss and limit range according to your own risk preference. For conservatives, 5% would be a good start, and for the berserkers a 20% might work better. So all in all, once setting up the ranges, your earnings effectively falls back on how many positive trades you've made, focusing on only a single variable that will affect your trade.

Remember this: The less variables in a trade, the higher your chances of scoring a profit.

Trade point: Market closed today, but i anticipate EUR/USD to gap down on Monday when market opens, thanks to Moody's Greek Default declaration.


Wednesday, 7 March 2012

Future of the Euro?

Okays, this will be the first ever discussion on Moneytheorem. The HUGE question on everyone's minds is this: Is Greece ever going to default? What happens to the EURO if Greece indeed defaults?

First and foremost, the Greeks have already effectively defaulted. A so-called 'voluntary' swap is in effect a default. As in not a default in amount, but a default in the contractual obligations which binds the bonds to the certain number of years stated.

In my personal opinion, the EURO was a wrong move right from the beginning. Those who have read the chinese classic 'Romance of Three Kingdoms' definitely remembered the 'Chained Ship Tactic' that Cao cao was coerced into using against the State of Wu.

The EURO effectively ties the economies of the 17 EURO countries into a single entity, promising stability and synergistic advantages. The same can be said for the tactics employed by Cao cao. In life, everything has a pro and a con. Cao cao's armies were eventually wiped out, simply by setting fire to a single ship in the chain.

The fire spread fast through the chain and within hours, Cao cao have lost almost all his troops. Greece is on fire now, and the ECB is desperately trying to douse out the fire, hoping to calm the markets and escape the inevitable fate of sinking with Greece. Will it work? I certainly hope so, yet logically the issue does not end with Greece, dont forget about Portugal Italy and Spain.

And hence, considering all these, i took a short position on EUR/USD, reviewing after 3 mths from now.

Alright, enough ramblings for now. I have attached a link below for you guys to check out the story i was talking about: The Battle Of Chi Bi.


Nites!

(Disclaimer: I do not recommend or posit anyone to adopt whatever strategies i describe here, so i will not be responsible for any loss whatsoever resulting from your attempts to replicate the strategies.)

Birth of Moneytheorem!

Hi guys, i've always had a passion for investments and making money grow (who doesnt?). So one fine day i've decided to start a blog regarding this passion of mine. Generally this blog will discuss some stuffs about how to improve your monthly income, with some slates on some products available on the market. I will touch on various facilities that are quite effective when applied together. All in all, i hope what we discuss are informative and everyone can reap something off whatever research i do in the market. Cheers! =D